The Chinese assertive reactions stem from the understanding that rebalancing seeks to throw China off its strategic balance in the region. China, at least in the past six months, has reacted in a way that confirms that it is circumspect in so far as “Rebalancing” is concerned, and is keeping its powder dry. China’s further military modernisation and its show of strength have become the bane for American security policy in the Asia-Pacific. In his second term, Obama’s Asia policy remains clogged with problems arising particularly out of Beijing’s maritime assertiveness. On all these issues, China did not reciprocate as desired by the US. His first term saw conciliatory steps towards accommodating Chinese concerns to deal with issues such as the currency dispute, climate change, North Korea, and Iran. But he softened his stance on the country after he assumed office. In 2008, while still campaigning, Obama spoke tough on China. This dilution traces itself to the first term of US President Barack Obama. For example, in the annual security conference of the US Army War College in 2012, references to an ‘Asian Pivot’ were deliberately eschewed in favour of the term, ‘rebalancing.’ Gradually, with recalibrations in its erstwhile pivot policy, rebalancing became the preferred term.Ĭareful observations will reveal that there has either been a further dilution in the rebalancing policy of the US or that it never really took off in the intended sense. Among the first instances was the talk of the US’s pivot to the Asia-Pacific being replaced with the policy of a ’rebalancing’. The recoil in the Obama Administration’s Pivot to Asia policy became evident within two years of the declaration of the policy. Clearly, the chinks in the armour of the US’ capability for a military-strategic force projection in the Asia-Pacific have been made visible by Chinese assertiveness. This assertion gets a justification in a US Department of Defense-commissioned assessment which pointed out that the strategy behind its force planning has not been “adequately articulated.”Įven as the 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review reaffirms Washington’s commitment to the US pivot to Asia, the Pivot is failing to live up to its promise. Part of the blame also lies in the failure to implement the “Rebalancing” properly. A recuperating US economy finds it difficult to remain committed in military-strategic assets in the Asia-Pacific due to resource constraints. In other words, a free execution of “Rebalancing” has thus been constrained by the US’ economic dependence on China. Implicit in this decision is the fact that any possibility of strategic confrontation between China and the US is undercut by their neoliberal concerns. Both the White House and the Pentagon have thought it to be wise not to confront China. On all these geostrategic developments, Washington has exercised restraint. Pacific Fleet which stated, “This incident underscores the need to ensure the highest standards of professional seamanship, including communications between vessels, to mitigate the risk of an unintended incident or mishap.” Washington’s response was limited to a statement issued by the U.S. In December 2013, USS Cowpens (CG-63), a Ticonderoga-class guided missile cruiser, was nudged and forced out of its way by the People’s Liberation Army Navy although it claimed to have been in ‘international waters’. These regulations came into force in January 2014. Six days later, China’s Hainan province issued new regulations on fishing in the South China Sea. Washington did not make any attempt to pressurise Beijing to take back the decision. In 2013, when China unilaterally imposed an Air Defence Identification Zone over large parts of the East China Sea, that angered Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea, the US’ response was limited to flying two unarmed, unescorted B-52 bombers over the Chinese-demarcated Zone. In 2012, the US displayed evident reluctance to go out of its way to side with the Philippines when China took the Scarborough Shoal, in spite of there being a bilateral defence understanding between the two. There have been at least three incidents that indicate the limitations. Over the past six months alone, there have been a few confrontations between the US and China that reflect the limitations to Washington’s strategic hedging against Beijing in the Asia-Pacific. The limitations of the US involvement in the Asian security construct have been manifesting themselves often recently – particularly since the 2001 EP-3 incident – and with increasing frequency with the rise in China’s maritime assertiveness in the region.
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